This week we discuss the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision, the path to the neutral rate, and why the Fed should front-load its rate cuts. Darius and Felix also delve into why the recessionistas are wrong about the labor market, the fiscal impulse, the impact of the BOJ and China on global macro, and much more. Enjoy!
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Jan 30
The Fed Is Background Noise While Markets Reprice Reality | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss a sleepy Fed meeting, why policy signals feel increasingly irrelevant, and what’s really driving the generational metals squeeze. We also dig into AI capex killing buybacks, market structure cracks, the future composition of the Fed, and where traders are fi ... Show More
1h 1m
Jan 28
Finding The Next Perfect Trade | Alex Gurevich
In this episode, former Managing Director of global macro trading at JPMorgan and bestselling author Alex Gurevich joins the show to discuss his updated book The Next Perfect Trade, unpacking what actually makes a good trade across regimes. We also cover how to express trades, pr ... Show More
53m 1s
Jan 23
The Generational Metal Squeeze Exposing Broken Sovereign Debt | Weekly Roundup
This week, we unpack why metals are ripping, how dollar weakness and bond market dysfunction are reshaping macro, and what Japan’s experience signals for the U.S. We also explore extreme metals positioning, dispersion across assets, and what uncertainty around the new Fed Chair m ... Show More
53m 20s
Oct 2024
10-10-24 Rising Volatility, China Stimulus, & Storms' Economic Surge - What They Mean For Portfolios
All was not hunky-dory in the recent Fed meeting, as the FOMC Meeting minutes reveal a split-decision on lowering rates by 50-bps vs 25-bps. Meanwhile, in the markets, the S&P is having its Best Year Ever since the "turn of the century." The current, rising wedge is both a bullis ... Show More
46m 29s
Jan 2025
2025 kicks off with market optimism vs geopolitical jitters
<p>US equities began 2025 with a brief sell-off followed by a rebound, while Chinese shares are having their worst start to a year since 2016. Microsoft said that it will spend USD 80 billion on data centres this year. This week, investors will be watching economic data releases, ... Show More
11m 7s
Oct 2025
Government shutdown begins, gold surges, Nike and Buffett deals
The US government has officially shut down after lawmakers failed to reach a funding deal, furloughing 750,000 workers and risking delays to jobs and inflation data critical for the Fed’s next moves. Markets opened Q4 lower, with futures and the dollar slipping while gold rallies ... Show More
22m 55s
Mar 2025
US Stocks and Dollar Tank. What’s Next? - Ep 1015
Peter Schiff discusses market drops, tariff impacts, Trump's Bitcoin reserve, and advocates for foreign stocks and gold investments.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldStart your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldIn this e ... Show More
1h 1m
Sep 2025
Rate decisions ahead – a make-or-break week for markets?
Markets are off to a strong start this week, which will be a critical one with a 'triple-header' of major central bank decisions. The US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan are all scheduled to announce their latest monetary policy moves. Recent economic d ... Show More
11m 5s
Sep 2025
Markets rattle as data surprises and tariffs return
Markets hit some rough patches yesterday, with all major European indices closing lower, followed by similar losses across the three main US benchmarks. Revised US data revealed an upward adjustment to second-quarter GDP, while jobless claims came in below expectations. This prom ... Show More
13m 31s
Sep 2024
Growth concerns persist, ECB set to cut rates again this week
<p>The US employment report for August showed a slower than expected increase in jobs, but a fall in the unemployment rate to 4.2%. Markets reacted negatively, with the S&P 500 having its worst week since March 2023, closing at 5408 points. Other asset classes such as Bitcoin ... Show More
12m 18s