logo
episode-header-image
Aug 2024
17m 43s

This Was the Point of NO return (CPI Bre...

Jeff Snider
About this episode

This was supposed to be all about "inflation" and instead everything is coming up jobs - including the latest CPI report. From Home Depot's most recent admission to now US refiners taking drastic steps to avoid getting caught with an energy glut (yep, that's right), the entire economy flipped from "sticky inflation" to Uh-Oh over employment. 

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

Bloomberg It’s Inflation Week in the US. But Everyone’s Talking About Jobs
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-08-12/fed-rate-cuts-it-s-us-inflation-week-and-everyone-s-talking-jobs

Home Depot 
https://corporate.homedepot.com/news/earnings/home-depot-announces-second-quarter-2024-earnings

CNBC Home Depot expects sales to weaken as consumers grow more cautious
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/13/home-depot-hd-q2-2024-earnings.html

Bloomberg Oil Refiners in US Slow Down, Stoking Global Crude Glut Worries
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-11/oil-refiners-in-us-slow-down-stoking-global-crude-glut-worries

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Up next
Today
Amazon Reveals Americans Have Hit Their Breaking Point
Amazon Prime Days have been doubled to four, simply confirming just how this year really is different for the consumer economy. It is merely the latest to testify for highly unusual weakness. Along with a sharp drop in credit card usage, the historically unusual decline in weekly ... Show More
17m 55s
Yesterday
You Won’t Believe What the Fed Just Said About Interest Rates
This wasn't supposed to happen. In fact, many said it was impossible up to and including central bank officials at the Federal Reserve. Yet, one of them, the head of the all-important New York branch, just released a report which say the market is taking ZIRP possibilities very s ... Show More
20m 3s
Jul 8
This Is The Setup for a Historic Currency Crash
The world is supposed to be all over the "sell America" trade, so why is it only this one key currency is? The thing is now sticking out like a sore thumb as more and more pile onto "sell America" here without any corroboration at all. Even FX modelers are confused by this insist ... Show More
18m 22s
Recommended Episodes
May 2024
The inflation cooldown we’ve been waiting for?
Looking at fresh economic data, retail sales were flat and some categories of food dropped in price from March to April. That indicates both falling inflation and a consumer spending pullback — good things if you’re the Federal Reserve. We’ll dig into the consumer price index and ... Show More
28m 27s
Apr 2024
What Does 3.5% Inflation Really Mean?
On today’s show we are taking a look at the Macro economy. The bureau of Labor and Statistics published the latest CPI data which came in a bit hotter than expected. This is implying that the Fed will need to keep interest rates higher for longer to combat inflation. The Fed keep ... Show More
6m 38s
Apr 2022
U.S. Stocks Rally on Strong Start to Earnings Season
The major U.S. equity indexes were all up more than 1% late in Monday’s regular trading session, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite leading the way with a 1.85% gain. Stocks today seem to reflect a strong start to earnings reporting season. According to Bloomberg, 38 of the 48 ... Show More
39m 8s
Nov 2021
187 - The return of inflation
It’s no secret that we’ve been living in inflationary times, but inflation is always the harbinger of higher interest rates and if they were to go up, what happens? Lessons from Zillow, the problem of tomorrow's big data, yesterday's invented barter, and the amount of debt out th ... Show More
29m 47s
Feb 2025
UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The damage of data dependency'
Yesterday’s US consumer price data provoked some unease in bond markets. This is mainly the fault of Federal Reserve Chair Powell—not because Powell’s policies drove inflation higher, but because Powell’s “data dependency” mantra means markets overreact to any data point. Egg pri ... Show More
2m 30s
Aug 2024
Inflation Is Easing, So Why Doesn’t It Always Feel That Way? Your Questions Answered
Inflation may be coming down, but when will prices –from items in our grocery carts to insurance premiums– stop climbing so fast? And when will wages catch up to make the cost increases of recent years stop hurting so much? WSJ economics reporter Harriet Torry and WSJ chief econo ... Show More
14m 50s
Feb 2024
Roses are red, violets are blue, you may not reach 2% this year too. | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
The market has been very quick in swallowing and digesting this Tuesday’s less than ideal inflation data from the US. Yields and the USD retreated, stocks rebounded. Tech led the rally. But the rate cut expectations are being scaled back in the US, and a further appreciation in t ... Show More
10m 28s
Aug 2021
US yields jump, gold dives ahead of US inflation!
Asian stock markets kicked off the week on a positive note, although the US indices had nothing more exciting than mixed performance after the announcement of strong jobs data on Friday. The US jobs data gave a small boost to the Dow and the S&P500 which closed Friday’s session 0 ... Show More
10m 42s