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May 2024
28m 31s

Don't Make This Mistake

Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly
About this episode

Free Trial to Alf's Institutional Research?

Ping Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg for more info!


In this podcast, Alf invites Peter Farac (aka @countdraghula on Twitter) to the show.

Peter brings a wealth of experience running money and has specific skills in rates and vol markets.

Alf and Peter discuss where the US business cycle actually is, how markets are positioned, and talk shop: how do we actually trade these markets?


Follow Peter @countdraghula on X, Free Newsletter: www.macroisdead.com

Up next
Aug 23
Run It Hot Hot Hot
Alf and Brent discuss the surprising Jackson Hole speech in which Powell opened up to interest rate cuts already in September. Markets are reacting strongly, but the real question is what should we expect if Trump runs the economy hot alongside a dovish Fed in 2026? 
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Aug 8
Is The Fed Ready To Capitulate Dovish?
Alf and Brent discuss the weak labor market data and the likely Fed reaction function. The duo also reflects on how you might be right on the macro idea, but market pricing at inception of your trade matters sometimes more than whether you were directionally right or wrong. 
33m 46s
Aug 1
The Tariff Mismatch Theory
Alf and Brent discuss the sharp USD repricing and the market positioning for a mild tariff impact on the US economy - what if we get a surprising slowdown over the next few months instead? 
32m 4s
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