logo
episode-header-image
May 2024
1h 35m

Mel Mattison: Asset Bubble Crescendo Unt...

Blockworks
About this episode

Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.

__

Follow Mel Mattison on Twitter https://x.com/MelMattison1

Mel Mattison’s book https://www.melmattison.com/quoz

Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us

Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96

Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

__

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:37) Mel’s Background

(04:13) The More Debt Is Created, The More Investors Want It (Story of Past 50 Years)

(06:59) Mel On Gold And Stock Market

(11:31) Inflating The Debt Away: The 1940s Playbook

(14:30) The Pre-Bretton Woods “Sterling Standard”

(17:36) Offshore Dollars (“Eurodollars”)

(24:23) The Debt Spiral: Comparison to 1920s

(27:56) VanEck Ad

(28:38) Why Now?

(37:01) Great Depression

(43:24) Social Security = Ticking Time Bomb, Mel Argues

(48:30) Isn’t There A Self-Regulating Cycle Where Rising Bond Yields Slow Down The Economy (Which In Turn Creates Demand For Duration & Cash)?

(59:14) Timing: 2027

(01:04:52) Social Security Funding

(01:17:01) Gold and Inflation

(01:28:22) Mel’s Book, QUOZ

__

Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.


Up next
Yesterday
The Only Assets That Beat Fiat Debasement | Raoul Pal & Julien Bittel
In this episode, Raoul Pal and Julien Bittel explain their “Everything Code” framework showing how global debt cycles, demographics, and liquidity drive all asset prices. They argue fiat debasement is running at ~8% annually, meaning only tech stocks and crypto have outperformed ... Show More
1h 10m
Jul 4
Unpacking The Crypto Treasury Meta
In this live panel from Permissionless IV, we unpack the rapid rise of token acquisition vehicles like MicroStrategy and Defi Dev Corp. We explore why institutions are using these vehicles to accumulate crypto faster, analyze premium-to-NAV dynamics, discuss the evolution from eq ... Show More
35m 9s
Jul 4
All Roads Lead To Debasement | Weekly Roundup
This week, we dive into the latest jobs and unemployment data surprises, the hidden role of immigration in labor force changes, and why both political parties are terrible. We also dig into the looming deficit and treasury issuance implications, the EM-ification of the US, the sy ... Show More
1h 13m
Recommended Episodes
Apr 10
Markets Plummet as Tariff-War Woes Fuel Exodus From US Assets
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Less than 24 hours after President Donald Trump backtracked on his once-in-a-century trade war to prevent a meltdown in financial markets, frantic selloffs hit US stocks, bonds and the dollar yet again as fears ... Show More
39m 34s
Apr 2022
U.S. Stocks Rally on Strong Start to Earnings Season
The major U.S. equity indexes were all up more than 1% late in Monday’s regular trading session, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite leading the way with a 1.85% gain. Stocks today seem to reflect a strong start to earnings reporting season. According to Bloomberg, 38 of the 48 ... Show More
39m 8s
Apr 2024
BoJ Begging For Mercy + A Conversation with Peter Polanskyj of Obra Capital
On this episode of “On The Tape,” Dan Nathan and Liz Young give their take on earnings season thus far (4:00), Meta (8:00), CEOs talking about the consumer (14:00), how the stock market could react to the Fed Meeting & Jobs Report this week (20:00), yields/currencies (24:30), and ... Show More
57m 16s
Mar 2025
Investment Clinic: I'm 67 - will US stocks crash my retirement?
Sixty-seven-year-old Paul invests using index funds. Over the years, his exposure to US tech stocks has helped him build up a sizeable retirement pot — but recent stock market volatility is making him worry.Now that he’s no longer working, Paul wonders if he should diversify into ... Show More
24m 44s
Apr 9
Tariff-ied markets
The global trade war intensifies as the Trump Tariffs come into effect. Equities continue to decline for the fourth consecutive day, threatening to push the S&P 500 into bear market territory, as investors seek safe havens. Meanwhile, Treasuries, once considered the world's ultim ... Show More
11m 51s
May 22
Stocks Get Hit as Weak Treasury Sale Boosts Yields
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Wall Street’s worries about a ballooning deficit that threatens America’s status as a safe haven were reflected in a $16 billion Treasury sale that saw lackluster demand - with stocks, bonds and the dollar fall ... Show More
47m 12s
Oct 2024
Middle East tensions rule as traders await Israel’s retaliation
Financial markets have calmed a little after investors seeking safe havens drove stocks and government bond yields lower and gold, oil, the US dollar and the Swiss franc higher. Iran’s attack on Israel has been left unanswered by Israel so far, so markets remain on tenterhooks – ... Show More
12m 19s
Sep 2024
Peter Schiff: Act NOW to Avoid Debt and Dollar Debacle
Crushing government debt. A deepening recession. A collapsing US dollar. Chaos in the financial markets. It could soon be headed your way. But all is not lost, either. Target the right commodities, stocks, and markets, and you won’t just come out relatively unscathed. You’ll have ... Show More
21m 36s
Mar 2025
Market Volatility Raises Risk-On or Risk-Off Question
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist Gina Martin Adams discusses that while the cues from S&P 500 earnings generally support the outlook for stocks this year, the market's tolerance for risk is being ... Show More
34m 9s