logo
episode-header-image
Mar 2024
10m 10s

The S&P500 couldn’t care less about hott...

Insights, strategies, and innovations for smarter trading
About this episode
Inflation in the US accelerated, not only in terms of monthly headline figure but everywhere, both core and headline, and both yearly and monthly figures came in hotter-than-expected. US yields and dollar rose, gold fell, but the S&P500 gained! Elsewhere, sterling fell against the dollar as softer-than-expected jobs data in the UK reassured the Ban ... Show More
Up next
Yesterday
Let’s get moving to inflation hedges!
European markets are on edge as rising US tariffs collide with hopeful trade negotiations with the EU. But optimism elsewhere fade as the latest tariff pause expires and President Trump threatens no extensions beyond August 1. Meanwhile, a surprise 50% levy on copper has sent COM ... Show More
10m 27s
Jul 8
Tariffs, inflation, debt risks are everywhere – but markets don’t blink
Markets are brushing off 25–40% tariffs like they’re just minor annoyances. But the US is back to tariff warfare, inflation is knocking, repatriation risks from Japan are rising — and yet, equities barely flinch. The S&P 500 is near ATH levels, the Nikkei rebounds, and the Stoxx ... Show More
11m 15s
Jul 7
OPEC brings more oil to the market, as Trump’s tariff deadline approaches
The week starts with renewed pressure on oil prices as OPEC decided to ramp up its production restoration plans by announcing an additional 548,000 barrels per day—well above the 411,000 increase expected, and renewed pressure on risk appetite as the July 9th deadline approaches ... Show More
10m 42s
Recommended Episodes
Aug 2022
Strong US jobs data hammers the recession 'optimism'
Strong US jobs data revived the Federal Reserve (Fed) hawks on Friday. The US 10-year yield jumped, and the US dollar gained. Gold gave back a part of gains, and US stocks closed in the negative, although the three major US indices closed the first week of August in the positive. ... Show More
10m 42s
Aug 2022
The revenge of energy stocks
Nvidia shares dived 6.30% yesterday on news that the company missed its revenue projection by $1.4 billion due to slower demand for PCs and gaming. Nvidia pulled other US chipmakers into the negative along with it, and brought the question of whether the chip rally, which was tri ... Show More
10m 15s
Jul 2022
Tighter ECB may not reverse the euro weakness!
The European Central Bank (ECB) rose its three policy rates by 50bp at yesterday’s monetary policy meeting, versus 25bp expected by analysts. One of the major highlights of yesterday’s ECB decision was the anti-fragmentation tool, TPI, transmission protection instrument. The name ... Show More
10m 59s
Aug 2022
The Sun Overdose for European stocks...
The week starts moody in Asia, as economic data from China and Japan missed estimates early this Monday. Crude oil begins the week under selling pressure around the $91 per barrel. US index futures are down, but interestingly, the European futures were better bid in Asia; but new ... Show More
11m 3s
May 2024
US inflation back on track?
US inflation slowed in April, ending a run of hotter-than-expected prints. Will Bain has the latest.Elsewhere, lots of gloom about companies leaving the London Stock Exchange, but are existential concerns overblown?The Government's own infrastructure tsar has said low investment ... Show More
51m 35s
May 2023
Inflation rose again. Will that sway the Fed on rates?
The Fed’s interest rate fight just got more complicated — the central bank’s preferred gauge of inflation indicated that prices rose 0.4% last month, a speed-up from the previous month that saw a 0.1% increase. We talk to Christopher Low, chief economist at FHN Financial, about w ... Show More
8m 44s
May 2023
Inflation rose again. Will that sway the Fed on rates?
The Fed’s interest rate fight just got more complicated — the central bank’s preferred gauge of inflation indicated that prices rose 0.4% last month, a speed-up from the previous month that saw a 0.1% increase. We talk to Christopher Low, chief economist at FHN Financial, about w ... Show More
8m 44s
Mar 2024
Wages have been outpacing inflation — but there’s a catch
While the purchasing power of earnings started to catch up to inflation last year, lower- and middle-income workers have been playing catch-up and are trying to dig out of debt. Meanwhile, Americans are working fewer hours on average, and fewer hours can cause total earnings to t ... Show More
7m 34s
Aug 2022
Soft US CPI could boost stocks & gold!
Russia halted crude flows to Hungary, Slovakia, and Czech Republic yesterday because sanctions prevented payment of a transit fee. But oil bulls are also quite this week, as US and Iran could finally reach a nuclear agreement, which would then unlock the Iranian oil and give a ce ... Show More
9m 55s