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Feb 2024
48m 15s

Swiss Re’s Patrick Saner on Soft Landing...

Blockworks
About this episode

Patrick Saner, Head of Macro Strategy at Swiss Re, joins Forward Guidance to share his insights on the global economy, interest rates, and central bank policy. Filmed on February 16, 2024.

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Follow Patrick Saner on Twitter: https://twitter.com/patrick_saner

Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us

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Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

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Use code FG10 to get 10% off Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit in March: https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2024-london

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:40) U.S. Economy Appears Resilient

(03:16) Financial Conditions And Neutral Rate

(08:)54 Central Bank Balance Sheet Policy (QE & QT)

(13:32) The Reaction Function Of The European Central Bank (ECB) Has Changed

(17:44) VanEck Ad

(18:28) Interpreting Ongoing Yield Curve Inversion

(20:24) Patrick's Work At Swiss Re

(23:24) Inflation Volatility

(33:47) Currencies

(35:46) European Economy

(38:32) Two Consecutive Quarters Of No Growth Does Not Necessarily Indicate A Recession

(40:55) Most Common Error In Macro: Mistaking Correlation For Causation

(43:16) Soft Landing Is Patrick's Base Case

(45:49) Patrick's Prior Work At Swiss National Bank

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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.


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