logo
episode-header-image
Dec 2023
56m 27s

TIP595: Stock Market History & The AI Bu...

The Investor's Podcast Network
About this episode

On today’s episode, Clay is joined by financial history expert, Jamie Catherwood, to discuss market forecasting, interest rates, and the efficiency of markets from a historical perspective.

Jamie Catherwood is a Client Portfolio Specialist at O'Shaughnessy Asset Management and also the author of the popular blog, Investor Amnesia.


IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

01:35 - Why we shouldn’t try to make market forecasts.

04:56 - Psychological biases that play into why investors are prone to forecast markets.

08:47 - How we can determine which market forecasts are worth putting weight on.

17:10 - Jamie’s thoughts on the AI craze of 2023.

25:52 - Jamie’s take on where interest rates may head from here.

30:23 - Broader consequences of zero percent interest rates and loose monetary policy.

33:59 - Historical examples of governments restructuring their debt.

40:47 - How investor access to information has impacted the efficiency of markets.

47:53 - Jamie’s favorite book from 2023.


Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.


BOOKS AND RESOURCES


NEW TO THE SHOW?


SPONSORS

Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors:


HELP US OUT!

Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it!


Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices


Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Up next
Yesterday
BTC242: Bitcoin Core Vs. Knots w/ NVK (BItcoin Podcast)
Preston Pysh welcomes back NVK, renowned Bitcoin expert and founder of Coinkite, for an in-depth conversation on the future of Bitcoin, the evolving dynamics of its core development, and the promising rise of decentralized platforms like Nostr. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 ... Show More
1h 3m
Jul 6
TIP735: Compounding with Character w/ Guy Spier
In this episode, Stig Brodersen speaks with Guy Spier who has outperformed the S&P 500 since 1997, with a 9.6% vs. 8.8% CAGR. They explore why Guy invested in The Economist, and how friendships, service, and living by an inner scorecard guide his life and investment philosophy. I ... Show More
2h 11m
Jul 4
TIP734: My Investment Philosophy w/ Clay Finck
In this episode, Clay shares the key principles behind his personal investment approach. His approach has been shaped by over a decade of experience and lessons from great investors like Charlie Munger, Nick Sleep, and Chris Mayer. He explains how he builds a portfolio focused on ... Show More
1h 11m
Recommended Episodes
Oct 2022
MI230: Buffett Indicator Says Stock Market is Overvalued w/ Lance Roberts
IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN: 09:18 - Understanding the basics of valuations and how to interpret price multiples.  17:00 - What the Shiller P/E (CAPE) ratio is, and why it is telling us future returns are expected to be low going forward.   25:46 - What Lance thinks are some ca ... Show More
1h 3m
Jun 2023
MI Rewind: Studying Superinvestors, Investing Checklists, & Seritage Growth Properties w/ Tom Botica
In this rewind episode, Clay Finck chats with Tom Botica about what it means to invest with a margin of safety, Seritage Growth Properties, and much more!Tom is a value investor and studies superinvestors such as Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Mohnish Pabrai, Guy Spier, and many ... Show More
50m 59s
Dec 2023
MI311: Quantitative Wisdom: Lessons for Qualitative Investors w/ Tobias Carlisle
Kyle Grieve chats with Tobias Carlisle about the key findings from his book on value and concentrated investing, the power of mean reversion and its role in providing value in undervalued stocks, conclusions from academic research on concentration and diversification, the role of ... Show More
1h 7m
Apr 2022
MI163: Macro Market Overview w/ Darius Dale
IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:   04:21 - What sort of impact the Russian invasion of Ukraine has on financial markets. 07:39 - Why the market expects inflation to come down in the near term. 11:43 - What a “Fed Put” is. 21:51 - Why the Federal Reserve raised interest rates well a ... Show More
43m 13s
May 2023
MI272: The Crisis Isn’t Over: The Case for Deflation w/ Jeff Snider
Rebecca Hotsko interviews Jeff Snider in a discussion about the global economy and markets. They delve into topics such as the current state of the 3m10yr yield curve, which is the most inverted it has been in 40 years, and what this implies for market expectations and more!Jeff ... Show More
50m 34s
Jul 2023
MI280: Deep Value Investing in 2023 w/ Tobias Carlisle
Robert Leonard chats with Tobias Carlisle about the global economy, market assessment, value investing opportunities, mean reversion trades, quality assessment in deep value strategies, using screeners, and more! Tobias Carlisle is the founder of The Acquirer’s Multiple®. He is a ... Show More
51m 34s
Oct 2022
MI231: Bubble: 3.0 History’s Biggest Bubble w/ David Hay
IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:   03:34 - Why David believes we are in the biggest financial bubble of all time and how did we get to this point?  05:57 - Why the Fed’s use of Modern Monetary Theory, Quantitative Easing (QE) and negative real yields have been large contributors to ... Show More
1h 2m
Aug 2022
MI Rewind: You CAN Beat The Market w/ Brian Feroldi
IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN: 02:41 - What is financial wellness? 08:41 - If he thinks investors can beat the market. 39:45 - How one should approach bull and bear markets. 44:10 - How you can identify companies that will become great in the future. 48:01 - Why Brian believes th ... Show More
59m 19s
Jun 2022
MI184: Studying Billionaires & Portfolio Allocation w/ Trey Lockerbie
IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN: 01:50 - How Trey’s investment strategy has changed with the everchanging macro landscape. 04:30 - What asset classes does he invests in. 07:17 - How he analyzes the opportunity cost between two different individual stocks. 34:21 - What he'll be eyei ... Show More
53m 29s
Sep 2022
MI225: Studying Superinvestors w/ David Rubenstein
IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN: 02:41 - How David started Carlyle Group and grew it to be one of the world’s largest private equity firms.  06:51 - What markets and sectors David thinks are most attractive to invest in right now.  18:05 - David’s greatest learnings from studying o ... Show More
44m 37s
Listen to millions of songs and podcasts on Anghami