logo
episode-header-image
Nov 2023
18m 10s

THIS Will Show You Where Interest Rates ...

Jeff Snider
About this episode

#recession #money #recession2023 #money  #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy 
The mainstream emphasis on Treasury auctions is, like so many of these things, completely misplaced. It's not just misplaced, even the worst Treasury auctions don't actually matter. Interest rates have nothing to do with how much debt the government issues. It's sad, it's not right, but that's the eurodollar world we live in. Uncle Sam has issued almost $20 trillion in debt over the last dozen years, and the long bond yield has barely moved - even with the Fed spiking ST rates.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

FOMC statement May 9, 2010
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20100509a.htm

Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

Up next
Today
HOLY SH*T!! New Data Shows The Recession Actually Start 8 Months Ago!?
Did a recession strike the US economy starting in October? Not just the forgot how to grow kind we’ve been grappling with for the last several years, but the all-out, NBER-style, full-blown contraction. Take a look at the data and the charts in this video, let’s see what you thin ... Show More
21m 53s
Yesterday
Canada Sends HUGE WARNING & its SPREADING To The Rest of The World
Canada just “unexpectedly” fell into a technical recession. But the important part is not just that Canada contracted. The important part is that Canada’s contraction is lining up with the same weakness now spreading through France, the UK, Germany, Sweden, Mexico, and increasing ... Show More
21m 49s
May 29
Institutions Want Out… But Private Credit Won’t Let Them Leave
Private credit has a new problem, and this one is different. For months, the story has been retail investors pulling money from private credit funds. But now we have something else. A Swiss pension fund redeeming shares from a Vista private credit vehicle helped force that fund t ... Show More
21m 51s
Recommended Episodes
Jun 2022
The Fed’s big swing at inflation
<p>The Federal Reserve announced its largest interest rate increase since 1994. And it's the equivalent of the US central bank taking a baseball bat to the economy, according to the FT’s US financial commentator Robert Armstrong.&nbsp;<strong>&nbsp;</strong></p><br><p>In this wee ... Show More
19m 43s
Oct 2022
Mike Wilson: The Problem with the U.S. Dollar
tail spinning
4m 22s
Sep 2022
U.S. Economy: The Fed Continues to Fight Inflation
<p>After another Fed meeting and another historically high rate hike, it’s clear that the Fed is committed to fighting inflation, but how and when will the real economy see the effects? Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets and Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter discuss.< ... Show More
7m 37s
Jun 2022
MM070: Biggest Fed rate hike since 1994. But are they making a mistake?
<p>Yesterday the US Federal Reserve hiked interest rates by 0.75% in another hawkish pivot in their on-going quest to tame inflation. They also said they intend to raise interest rates a further 1.75% across their remaining four meetings in 2022</p><br><p>We discuss the market fa ... Show More
37m 7s
Oct 2022
It’s Not Just Inflation, The Fed’s Lost Control | Round Up
The CPI print just came out, and prices are hot. This week's roundup explores the implications of high inflation, what it means for company earnings and what to expect next.Has the Fed lost control? Is this the fault of current or prior regimes? Where are rates headed? Is QE comi ... Show More
1h 3m