logo
episode-header-image
Nov 2023
46m 9s

Is This the End of the Bond Bear Market?...

Lance Roberts
About this episode
(11/7/23) How did WeWork go from $47-B to Bankruptcy? Beware the days' 'narrative of the moment' in interest rates, AI. Market performance ahead, pre- and post-Thanksgiving. Is the Bond Bear market dead or just hibernating? Are bon yields doing the Fed's dirty work now? WeWork is a symptom. Yields are a function of debt and economic growth = Bond Math. Don't ... Show More
Up next
Yesterday
11-20-25 How The Fed Deals Liquidity - The Monetary Toolbox
How does the Federal Reserve actually supply liquidity to the financial system? And why have markets become so dependent on the Fed since 2008? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the complete Fed liquidity toolkit—from QE and QT to the Standing Repo Facility, IORB, ON R ... Show More
43m 11s
Nov 19
11-19-25 Pension or Lump Sum - What's the Smarter Move
Choosing between a company pension and a lump-sum payout is one of the biggest financial decisions many pre-retirees will ever face—especially for workers in industries facing layoffs or restructuring, like the major oil companies in Houston right now. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratl ... Show More
42m 46s
Nov 18
11-18-25 Indicators & Income - What Retirees Must Know
Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn tackle two of the biggest gaps in financial education: How to actually use RSI, MACD, Money Flow, and MACD Histogram together, and why post-retirement planning (the “decumulation” phase) is so overlooked—yet absolutely critical. Lance and Jon break d ... Show More
52m 22s
Recommended Episodes
Jul 2023
Late Cycle Bond Trades | Mark Cabana on Mild Recession Case and Treasury Market Supply
Mark Cabana, head of US Rates Strategy at BofA Global Research, joins Forward Guidance to share insights on today’s very strange bond market. Cabana, a former officer at the Markets Group at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, explains his bullish case for the 10-year U.S. Trea ... Show More
56m 14s
Oct 2023
Duration Remains Unattractive, Says Veteran High Yield Bond Investor
On todays episode, Craig Manchuck Vice President & Portfolio Manager at Osterweis joins the show for a discussion on the end of the zero interest rate era.  We deep dive into the bond market sell-off over the past 3 years, where to find opportunities in the bond market & the ris ... Show More
1h 12m
Aug 4
Why Stocks Get Ahead of the Fed
<p>Economic data looks backward while equity markets are looking ahead. Our CIO and Chief U.S.&nbsp;Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains why this delays the Federal Reserve in both cutting and hiking rates – and why this is a feature of monetary policy, not a bug.</p><p><br></p ... Show More
4m 10s
Mar 2024
Portrait Of A Sick Market | Milton Berg On How The Stock Market’s Exhaustive Rally Is Reminiscent of 2000, 1968, and 1929
Milton Berg, renowned market technician known to viewers for his contrarian bullish call in January of 2023, returns to Forward Guidance with a far less rosy outlook. As of recording on February 28, 2024, Berg is decidedly bearish in the face of a stupendous stock market rally. H ... Show More
1h 42m
Apr 2025
Tariff-ied markets
<p>The global trade war intensifies as the Trump Tariffs come into effect. Equities continue to decline for the fourth consecutive day, threatening to push the S&amp;P 500 into bear market territory, as investors seek safe havens. Meanwhile, Treasuries, once considered the world' ... Show More
11m 51s
Sep 11
New record closing and intraday highs for US stocks
US equities surged again yesterday, closing off their intraday highs but nevertheless achieving new records. US PPI data confirmed that growth is slowing, providing more of the data that the Fed needs to start cutting rates again – markets will now scrutinise today’s CPI data for ... Show More
15m 27s
Oct 20
Time for a Bull Market Correction?
<p>As the S&amp;P 500 continues to rally, our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson discusses three factors that could lead to a stock market correction in the near term.</p><p>Read more&nbsp;<a href="https://www.morganstanley.com/insights?cid=mg-SM_CORP-insights-17607 ... Show More
5m 13s
Apr 2025
Jesse Felder: Stocks, Bonds & the U.S. Dollar Are All Breaking
Are we heading into a full-blown reset across financial markets? In this explosive interview, Jesse Felder, founder of The Felder Report, joins James Connor to issue a dire warning: stocks, bonds, and the U.S. dollar are all dangerously mispriced, and a major repricing event may ... Show More
56m 58s
Nov 2023
Interest Rate Declines Will Bring Fated "Soft Landing," Says Earnings Maestro Sam Burns
In January of 2023, a time where extreme pessimism on stocks and the economy reigned, Sam Burns, founder of Mill Street Research, shared his bullish outlook on equities with Jack. Now that his prediction has come true, Sam returns to Forward Guidance to explain why he is much les ... Show More
1h 3m