logo
episode-header-image
Oct 2023
18m 8s

Job Market: The Shocking Truth (It's Not...

Jeff Snider
About this episode

Free Webinar, Friday Oct 20, 630pm EDT. Sign up here:
https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollar

If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here.
https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page

#recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #employment #jobs #jolts
What the hell was that? Everyone went nuts over...job openings? Not only is this data from JOLTS unreliable, it goes up for a month here or there repeatedly on short-term basis. The rest of the JOLTS data completely undercuts the mainstream interpretation that the labor market is suddenly invulnerable. Worse, other data, starting with a collapse in consumer confidence followed by the vastly more important income numbers, strongly indicate serious and still-growing recession problems. 

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

Bloomberg: Wall Street Fear Gauge Ratchets Up After Jobs Data: Markets Wrap
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-02/asia-stocks-set-to-drop-after-slump-in-treasuries-markets-wrap

IBD: Fed Overkill? Economic Outlook Index Plunges To Record Low In IBD/TIPP Poll
https://www.investors.com/news/economy/federal-reserve-overkill-economic-outlook-index-plunges-to-record-low-in-ibd-tipp-poll/

Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN

Up next
Yesterday
The AI Bubble Is Now A Debt Disaster
Amazon just spent more than $77 billion on AI and saw $42.4b in cash OUTFLOWS. Alphabet has now lost more than $500b in market value following its largest one-day stock decline ever. Microsoft, meanwhile, is offering voluntary buyouts to more than one-quarter of its global workfo ... Show More
18m 55s
Oct 29
European Banks Just Did What They Do Before Every Crisis...
HSBC just reported a 32% increase in pretax profit. And investors responded by dumping the stock as much as 7.5%. That sounds strange until you look at what was missing. That is the first clue. The second comes from the rest of Europe’s banks and what they are actually doing.And ... Show More
19m 2s
Oct 28
Elon Musk Warns Banks Have STOPPED Lending to AI Companies
Elon Musk just issued an extraordinary warning about the AI boom. Then Meta went to the stock market with a plan to raise roughly **$98 billion**, one of the largest equity-financing programs in history, to keep funding its AI expansion. And now we’ve learned that banks nearly ba ... Show More
18m 28s
Recommended Episodes
Jul 2022
E86: Macro outlook: jobs, housing, inflation + Dutch farmers protests & EU climate missteps
0:00 Bestie open: Sacks' shopping spree 2:15 Macro outlook: jobs, consumer sentiment, housing, inflation, finding a bottom 39:21 Turkish government finds ~694 million mt of rare earth reserves & EU reclassifies nuclear & natural gas as "green" 48:58 Dutch farmers protests: root c ... Show More
1h 23m
Dec 2022
Investors Are Mistaken About the Fed’s Mistake - Ep 860
· Weakening economy will expand inflation· Bitcoin is building a trapdoor, not a bottom.· Jobs under Biden were returned, not created.Cut your wireless bill to $15 a month. For a limited time, buy any 3-month Mint Mobile plan and get 3 more months FREE at https://mintmobile.com/g ... Show More
38m 52s
Aug 2025
Wall Street's big data headache
With BLS data suddenly suspect, can the markets trust nonfarm payrolls and the CPI? (0:17) Palantir and McDonald’s among those reporting earnings this week. (2:27) Berkshire-Hathaway profit down. (3:49)Show Notes Earnings CalendarDividend RoundupEpisode transcripts seekingalpha.c ... Show More
5m 35s
Apr 2021
Buyer Beware: Are Markets Set Up for a Pullback?
DB-Apr8,2021: Peter Boockvar, CIO of Bleakley Advisory Group and editor of The Boock Report, joins Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison to share his insights on the inflationary pressures and drawdown risks he’s observing. Boockvar discusses his take on why weekly jobless clai ... Show More
34m 52s
May 2025
The Strong Data Is A Mirage | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss the strong jobs report and why next month is the time to look for weakness, the tariff strategy and how it’s bleeding into economic data, and people missing the forest for the trees in the Trump agenda. We also delve into the Treasury QRA, measuring Treasury ... Show More
57m 1s
Feb 2023
Strange Jobs Report
<p>You can't make this stuff up. On today's show we are taking a deeper look at the incredibly strong January jobs report that 517,000 jobs were created in the month of January in the US.&nbsp;</p> <p>The report was at odds with the daily reports of layoffs in multiple industries ... Show More
6m 37s