logo
episode-header-image
Sep 2023
14m 16s

Fiscal policy is the elephant in the roo...

JULIUS BAER
About this episode

Markets are basically on hold ahead of the US rate decision tomorrow. The oil rally, which has the potential to raise risks to inflation, has us on tenterhooks in a week dominated by central bank activity. Markus Allenspach, Head of Fixed Income Research, explains why fiscal policy might now be more important than monetary policy in the US. He also delves into the Fed’s dots and what we might read from them.

00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)

00:25 Markets wrap-up by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)

05:38 Fixed income update by Markus Allenspach (Head of Fixed Income Research)

12:56 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)

Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or your favourite podcast player. 

Up next
Yesterday
Markets pause as geopolitical shifts and rare earth tensions take centre stage
After a strong rally, US and European markets paused, with major indices closing lower amid a more cautious mood. In Europe, Ferrari’s downward revision to guidance and HSBC’s restructuring in Hong Kong weighed on sentiment, even as Germany’s DAX reached a fresh intra-day high. G ... Show More
11m 8s
Oct 9
Gold glitters, stocks rally, and China’s cracks
European and US equities edged higher as gold held above USD 4,000/oz amid ongoing economic and political uncertainty. Despite strong travel data, Chinese consumer sentiment remains weak, while Germany’s industrial downturn fuels structural concerns. With the Fed maintaining a do ... Show More
14m 44s
Oct 8
Gold breaks records as markets pause
Global equity markets paused after a strong rally, with US equities dipping slightly and bringing an end to a seven-day winning streak as Oracle’s weak cloud margins raised concerns about profitability in AI infrastructure. European stocks remained flat, though French luxury bran ... Show More
17m 25s
Recommended Episodes
Feb 2025
Nvidia Sees Mixed Outlook After Two Years of Blowout Results
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg News US Semiconductor & Networking Reporter Ian King discusses Nvidia's quarterly sales coming in at about $43 billion, slightly above analysts' estimates, but gross profit margins will be tighter tha ... Show More
30m 17s
Jul 2023
Late Cycle Bond Trades | Mark Cabana on Mild Recession Case and Treasury Market Supply
Mark Cabana, head of US Rates Strategy at BofA Global Research, joins Forward Guidance to share insights on today’s very strange bond market. Cabana, a former officer at the Markets Group at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, explains his bullish case for the 10-year U.S. Trea ... Show More
56m 14s
Sep 2023
Just How Interest Rate Sensitive Is The U.S. Economy? | Jeremy Schwartz & Professor Jeremy Seigel (Jack’s Guest Appearance On Behind The Markets Podcast)
This is Jack’s guest appearance on the Behind The Markets Podcast with Jeremy Schwartz, Chief Investment Officer of WisdomTree, and Jeremy Siegel, renowned finance professor at Wharton and senior economist to WisdomTree. The trio tackle the labor market, the stock market, the int ... Show More
50m 57s
Jan 2025
Fed Holds Rates Steady, Pausing for Further Inflation Progress
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Intelligence Chief US Interest Rate Strategist Ira Jersey and Nate Thooft, CIO at Manulife Investment Management, discuss Federal Reserve officials holding interest rates steady, pausing to assess the ... Show More
9m 29s
Apr 2025
US Assets Are Dead Money Without A Policy Shift | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss Powell’s hawkish speech, how to think about trading tariffs and the weaponization of the US account deficit, and whether we should expect a significant growth slowdown. We also delve into rate cuts & the yield curve, why Bitcoin is the trade after the trade, ... Show More
53m 24s
Sep 26
Economic Reacceleration or Growth Scare? | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss the biggest risks to the economy, whether Mag7 is a bubble, surprisingly strong consumer data, the increasingly noisy housing and labor markets, risks around Fed policy and dollar liquidity, and why gold has been a cleaner macro hedge than Bitcoin. Enjoy! — ... Show More
1h 7m
Sep 5
The Fed Is Cornered By Stagflation After Jobs Collapse | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss all the growing list of weaker labor market data after August NFP showed just 22K jobs added. We also debate whether the Fed will have room to cut 50bps in September while stagflation rears its head, the potential implications if tariffs are overturned, and ... Show More
42m 7s
Mar 2025
US Stocks and Dollar Tank. What’s Next? - Ep 1015
Peter Schiff discusses market drops, tariff impacts, Trump's Bitcoin reserve, and advocates for foreign stocks and gold investments. Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/gold Start your free online visit today at https://hims.com/gold In ... Show More
1h 1m
Mar 2025
Trump’s Crypto Pump - Ep 1014
Peter Schiff exposes crypto market manipulations by Trump's team, critiques Social Security as a Ponzi scheme, and analyzes recent concerning economic data. #trump #bitcoin #cryptoSponsor Promotions- Stash: Go to https://get.stash.com/gold to see how you can receive $25 towar ... Show More
1h 3m
Feb 2025
Fed Minutes Signal Officials on Hold Until Inflation Improves
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg International Economics and Policy Correspondent Michael McKee reports on Federal Reserve officials expressing their readiness to hold interest rates steady amid stubborn inflation and economic policy ... Show More
1h 2m