logo
episode-header-image
May 2023
20m 45s

Predictions: Jobs!

NPR
About this episode
It's time for another installment of ... Planet Money Predictions! *air horn*

Last year, we invited two economic forecasters to tell us what they saw coming for jobs, the housing market, and inflation. And now they're back. Which means it's time to find out whose predictions were more on the money, and send the victor to the next round, where they face off against a new forecasting phenom.

Since our last game, housing and inflation have cooled, but the job market keeps going strong. And the possibility of a recession still looms large. Our forecasters tell us what they see in the economy now, and what they expect in the months ahead.

This episode was produced by James Sneed. It was engineered by Katherine Silva. It was fact-checked by Sierra Juarez and edited by Molly Messick. Jess Jiang is our acting executive producer.

Help support Planet Money and get bonus episodes by subscribing to Planet Money+ in
Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org/planetmoney.

Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices

NPR Privacy Policy
Up next
Yesterday
Made in America
What people might picture when they think of "Made in America" ... might not look like the "Made in America" we have today.The U.S. does have a domestic manufacturing industry, including a garment manufacturing industry. In today's episode: We buy a garment made by factory worker ... Show More
30m 49s
Jul 9
Summer School 1: A government's role in the economy is to make us all richer
Government. The Big G. We like to imagine the free market and the invisible hand as being independent from political influence. But Nobel laureate, Simon Johnson, says that influence has been there since the birth of economics. Call it political economy. Call it government and bu ... Show More
35m 46s
Jul 4
The simple math of the big bill
If we think about the economic effects of President Donald Trumps big taxing and spending and domestic policy bill, we can roughly sum it up in one line. It goes something like this: We will make many big tax cuts permanent and pay for those tax cuts by cutting Medicaid and a few ... Show More
32m 12s
Recommended Episodes
Jan 2023
The World Ahead 2023: The art of forecasting
We turn the spotlight on forecasting itself, and look back on the predictions we made for 2022. How accurate were we? How do “superforecasters” look into the future? And how can forecasters account for irrational world leaders when predicting major events? Charlotte Howard, The E ... Show More
23m 33s
Nov 2023
Team Favorite: Despite Recession Fears, Small Businesses Keep Opening. Can They Survive?
We're taking a break this week for the Thanksgiving holiday, so here's an episode you might have missed. We'll be back on Monday with a new episode. Even with a looming recession, high interest rates and a tight labor market, small businesses have been opening at record rates ove ... Show More
23m 28s
Aug 2023
Markets upbeat ahead of economic data releases
Global equities advance as investors continue to ponder central bankers’ comments at the Jackson Hole economic symposium last week and ahead of a series of key data releases later this week. Shop price inflation in the UK fell sharply to 6.9% in August reflecting hopes that this ... Show More
15m 58s
Oct 2021
Predicting the Future of the Creator Economy
Colin and Samir talk through their predictions for the future of the Creator Economy. These predictions are directly from our newsletter, The Publish Press, subscribe here: http://thepublishpress.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices 
25m 5s
Aug 2023
Trailer
**FIRST EPISODE - WEDNESDAY 30TH AUGUST** Does money really make the world go round? Economics, business and finance have long been subjects we leave to the stock brokers, hedge fund managers and business school professors who spend their lives obsessing over them - but there’s n ... Show More
1m 20s
Dec 2021
2022 trends and predictions with After Hours
The end of another year is upon us, so it's time to take stock of where we've been and look ahead at where business is going. Today, Modupe talks to Harvard Business School professors and hosts of the TED Audio Collective podcast “After Hours” Youngme Moon, Mihir Desai, and Felix ... Show More
30m 12s
Aug 2023
In search of a new economic playbook
Chinese corporate earnings reports are forecast to log poor performance and companies are set to downgrade outlooks, and policy makers walked away from Jackson Hole acknowledging they need to adjust to the changing global economy. Plus, the FT’s Jamie Smyth explains why Ireland i ... Show More
10m 13s
Dec 2023
The Deal Room: Top 10 Banking Trends That Defined 2023! (PART 2)
Stephen Barnett, our Director of Corporate Finance recaps the pivotal trends that have reshaped the banking landscape this year. In the second episode of this two-part podcast series, we dive into a countdown of the most defining moments of the year, from 5 to number 1. From the ... Show More
23m 26s
Jan 2024
Higher wages, fewer temp workers and indicators of the year results
The U.S. economy added a solid number of jobs, the unemployment rate held steady, and a lot of people got raises. But, today we ask whether fewer temporary workers could mean recession, and whether higher wages might cause interest rates to stay high. Related episodes: The Indica ... Show More
9m 27s