Seth Carpenter: China’s Impact on Global...

Our Global Chief Economist and Head of Macro Research Seth Carpenter asks Mayank Phadke, a member of his team, to give up an update on tariffs and their real cost to the U.S. economy.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Seth Carpenter: Welcome to Thoughts ... Show More

Although the conflict in Iran keeps dominating the news cycle, investors have an eye on the upcoming U.S. midterm elections. Our Deputy Global Head of Research Michael Zezas and Head of Public Policy Research Ariana Salvatore consider policy implications – from healthcare and con ... Show More

Back from the IMF Spring Meetings in Washington, Simon Waever and Seth Carpenter unpack what policy makers and investors could be underpricing: the growth hit from higher energy costs, the risk of too much tightening by central banks and why emerging markets still look resilient. ... Show More

<p>Oh today’s show we are talking about the current macro economic climate and provide a forecast for interest rates for the second half of this year. </p> <p>The fact is that we live in an interconnected world and the attempts by central bankers to look at the economic condition ... Show More

As Covid-19 restrictions lifted around the world and countries stopped reporting on case numbers, the events of 2020 and 2021 faded further into our collective memory. Against the threat of looming recession and a war in Europe, it was easy to forget the turmoil brought on by the ... Show More

US inflation is at a 40-year high and the UK is effectively in recession as demand slows for Chinese-made goods. Prime Minister Boris Johnson, though addressing the British economy, could have been speaking for the whole world when he said in a recent interview that “we’re going ... Show More

<p>Major indexes all closed higher after the central bank, as expected, held rates steady for a second straight meeting. We dig in on chair Powell’s commentary and what it means for the markets. Plus, Yum Brands, Estee Lauder and Canada Goose among the companies raising concerns ... Show More

Investors with China exposure, or an appetite for it, face a raft of issues ranging from slower growth, which may or may not be condoned by Beijing, to toughened and expanded clampdowns on sectors. Add in persistent Sino-US tensions over geopolitics and a revitalised focus on gre ... Show More

The past few years have been marked by two economic trends that have affected pretty much everyone on the planet. The first is the cost of living crisis that followed the Covid pandemic and was made worse by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. That saw prices in the shops soar - in man ... Show More