From Liquidity To A Credit Crisis| Listen on Anghami

Aug 28

On Bessent, Gold & Idiosyncratic Trades

Alf and Brent are back to discuss the Bessent buyback plan and its impact on markets. The duo focuses on gold, the long-end and the USD as potential release valves. The discussion then moves to two macro idiosyncratic ideas.

35m 58s

Aug 9

On Sizing Options, The Fed and The JPY

In this episode, Alf and Brent talk about the Fed's likely reaction function to incoming data and the Bessent/Japan accord on the JPY. The duo then discusses one of the trickiest questions for macro PMs: when to use options, and how to size them?

37m 18s

Jul 31

Warsh Woke Up The Bond Vigilantes

Alf and Brent discuss the significant market reaction to Warsh's press conference: the Fed handed over the keys to the bond market, and now Bond Vigilantes are in charge until data comes in to set the direction straight for everyone. How to handle such a market environment?

38m 21s

Mar 2023

The Largest Bank Failure Since 2008 | Weekly Round Up

This week, after a week of turmoil across the banking industry, Mike & Mark discuss the collapse of Silvergate and Silicon Valley Bank. With fears mounting over the mark to market value of bank's asset's, we walk through the dynamics which led to depositors running for the exit d ... Show More

1h 4m

Mar 2023

E120: Banking crisis and the great VC reset

(0:00) Bestie intro! (1:35) Recapping the events of the past week (5:39) Understanding the banking crisis (32:55) Solving the global debt problem, righting the ship (54:20) VC market update: Founders Fund splits its eighth fund in two, Sequoia's reported returns, YC cuts its grow ... Show More

1h 30m

Jul 2023

Will The Fed Get Their Soft Landing? | Weekly Round Up

Follow On The Margin On Spotify: https://spoti.fi/46mn1n3 Follow On The Margin On Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3UsnTiM Follow Blockworks Macro On YouTube: https://bit.ly/3NKpujX __ This episode is taken from the weekly roundup edition of the On The Margin podcast hosted by Mi ... Show More

58m 55s

Mar 2023

MM104: Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) contagion fears spark a global banking sell-off

<p>In this episode, we take a look at what exactly happened to SVB and why the collapse in their share price on Thursday rippled through the banking sector resulting in the largest four US banks losing some $47bn of market value in just one day.</p><br><p>Was the move justified? ... Show More

25m 46s

Mar 2023

What the Hell Just Happened?

The U.S. added 311,000 jobs in February while unemployment rose from 3.4% to 3.6%. That quickly became background noise though, as trouble in the banking sector sparked a massive selloff in yields. It didn’t take long for U.S. equities to follow suit. Ash Bennington is joined by ... Show More

33m 30s

Mar 2023

E121: Macro update, Fed hike, CRE debt bubble, Balaji's Bitcoin bet, TikTok's endgame & more

(0:00) Bestie intro! (2:58) Fed hikes 25 bps (32:35) Balaji bets on Bitcoin $1M, predictions for hyperinflation, crypto crackdown in the US (54:27) Should the commercial real estate sector receive a similar treatment as regional banks? Math and solutions on 100% FDIC insurance (1 ... Show More

1h 34m

Mar 2023

E119: Silicon Valley Bank implodes: startup extinction event, contagion risk, culpability, and more

(0:00) Bestie intro! (1:57) Overview of the SVB collapse and bank run (17:53) Who or what is to blame? Debating venture debt (37:11) Contagion risk, second- and third-order effects, government backstops (1:00:36) What does this mean for the VC industry? Silicon Valley panic cycle ... Show More

1h 29m

Jul 2023

The Massive Shift Underway in the US Banking System

When Silicon Valley Bank imploded, there was a lot of talk about the future of regional and community banks in the United States. Can they compete with the large, too-big-to-fail institutions? What will happen to their deposits and their cost of capital? But actually the challeng ... Show More

46m 4s