What is economic growth, and what happens if there isn’t any? And what does that GDP figure stand for? Tim Harford explains how and why we measure everything.
If the economy stops growing, that could mean things like job cuts, so measuring what’s going on is crucial. In this episode Tim Harford explains how the economy is measured and what is missed out. Ec ... Show More
Jun 19
What's Happening In Financial Markets Right Now (Fed, BoE & Geopolitics)
Markets have stayed calm so far this week, but central banks and geopolitics were anything but. Anthony and Piers break down the Fed’s muted meeting, the revised growth and inflation forecasts, and the hidden signals in the dot plot. Over in the UK, a dovish shift at the Bank of ... Show More
37m 51s
Apr 2024
Neil Shearing: What the Consensus Is Missing About the Current Economy
Our guest this week is Neil Shearing. Neil is group chief economist at Capital Economics, a London-based research firm. He is also an associate fellow at Chatham House, an International Affairs think tank. In his Capital Economics role, Neil manages a team of economists and is a ... Show More
44m 41s
Jul 2023
Mind Games: How Confidence Shapes our Financial Markets, with Economist Peter Atwater
#452: Peter Atwater, an economics professor at The College of William and Mary and author of “The Confidence Map,” joins us to discuss how confidence shapes our financial markets.He explains how The Hunger Games relates to the Lehman Brothers collapse. He describes why you should ... Show More
1h 2m
Jul 30
GM85: What If the Real Risk Isn’t Recession — But Reinvention? ft. Steven Bell
Steven Bell has seen the macro machine from every angle - Treasury insider, hedge fund manager, and chief economist. In this wide-ranging conversation with Alan Dunne, he traces the quiet erosion of economic orthodoxy and why AI, not tariffs, may prove the more destabilizing forc ... Show More
1h 7m
Jun 20
EU pushes a UK-style trade deal with the US
Russia’s war-time economy is slowing down, and the EU is negotiating a trade deal with the US to keep some tariffs in place. Plus, the Bank of England votes to hold interest rates steady, and a UN official describes violence at aid distribution sites in Gaza. Mentioned in this po ... Show More
12m 7s
Sep 2024
Will the Fed go big? Gold hits new records amid rate cut speculation
Markets are abuzz with speculation that the Federal Reserve may deliver a larger-than-expected 50 basis-point rate cut next week. As a result, yields have tumbled, and gold prices have surged to new record highs. Meanwhile, equity markets continue their winning streak, with the S ... Show More
11m 43s
Apr 2025
Will tariffs lead to a recession?
The Trump administration’s tariff moves are turning US trade policy on its head — and fueling concerns about the US economic outlook. So will tariffs send the US into a recession? And, if so, what might that recession look like? Economist and Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman, Goldman ... Show More
25m 40s