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Jan 2023
2h 17m

#651: Legendary Investor Bill Gurley on ...

Tim Ferriss: Bestselling Author, Human Guinea Pig
About this episode

Brought to you by Protekt's REST sleep supplement, Athletic Greens's AG1 all-in-one nutritional supplement, and Shopify global commerce platform providing tools to start, grow, market, and manage a retail business. 

Bill Gurley (@bgurley) has spent more than 20 years as a general partner at Benchmark. Before entering the venture capital business, Bill spent four years on Wall Street as a top-ranked research analyst, including three years at Credit Suisse First Boston.

Bill also maintains a blog on the evolution and economics of high technology businesses called Above the Crowd.

Over his venture career, he has worked with such companies as GrubHub, Nextdoor, OpenTable, Stitch Fix, Uber, and Zillow

Bill has a BS in computer science from the University of Florida and an MBA from the University of Texas. He is also a chartered financial analyst. Bill is a board trustee at the Santa Fe Institute, a research and education center focused on the study and understanding of complex adaptive systems.

Please enjoy!

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This episode is also brought to you by Athletic Greens. I get asked all the time, “If you could use only one supplement, what would it be?” My answer is usually AG1 by Athletic Greens, my all-in-one nutritional insurance. I recommended it in The 4-Hour Body in 2010 and did not get paid to do so. I do my best with nutrient-dense meals, of course, but AG further covers my bases with vitamins, minerals, and whole-food-sourced micronutrients that support gut health and the immune system. 

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[05:51] The book Bill calls "the most efficient short-form MBA one can find."

[07:31] Sell-side analysts vs. buy-side analysts.

[09:45] Financial models, rules of thumb, and making (sometimes wrong) decisions.

[17:28] Howard Marks and Stan Druckenmiller.

[19:26] Micro vs. macro investing.

[20:40] Institutional Investor's All-America Research Team.

[24:16] Expanding distribution.

[27:04] Return On Invested Capital (ROIC).

[33:10] Repurposing good ideas for alternative applications.

[37:01] The conviction of network effects.

[38:58] SaaS and open source.

[42:40] Bet sizing.

[44:04] Equal partnership over hierarchy.

[50:08] Lessons learned from partners.

[52:57] Recommended resources.

[58:46] Problems open source can solve.

[1:09:28] Building a better network with the interest graph.

[1:13:42] Dissecting Bill's Twitter thread about risks and sudden valuation resets.

[1:23:50] The Metaverse.

[1:29:00] Revenue and earnings quality matter.

[1:31:02] Undervalued competitive advantages.

[1:35:02] Jeff Bezos: corporate mad scientist?

[1:40:42] The counterintuitive condemnation of company camaraderie.

[1:45:37] Tobi Lütke.

[1:48:51] Books Bill has gifted frequently.

[1:52:29] The Santa Fe Institute.

[1:54:35] Bill's board.

[1:56:32] Cultivating anti-tribalism.

[1:58:13] Twitter: what is it good for?

[2:01:14] Newsletters and other resources Bill relies on.

[2:03:05] Bill's book in progress.

[2:04:12] Regulatory capture.

[2:09:10] Predicting what America will look like in 10-20 years.

[2:10:50] Parting thoughts.

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