logo
episode-header-image
Dec 2022
49m 37s

Where Things Stand Now With Inflation an...

bloomberg
About this episode

Last week was a big one. On Tuesday, we got a CPI report that came in substantially cooler than expected. Then on Wednesday, the Fed hiked 50 basis points, which was a step down from the series of 75 basis point hikes that we had been getting at recent meetings. So where do things stand now? When will we get a proper pivot? When will the Fed feel confident that inflation has been defeated. We spoke with two macro guests: Jon Turek, founder of JST Advisors and author of the Cheap Convexity Blog, as well as Tim Duy, Chief US Economist at SGH Macro as well as a Professor of Practice in economics at the University or Oregon. They gave as their readings on inflation, the Fed, and what to watch at the start of 2023. 

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Up next
Today
How a Geopolitical Analyst Predicts the Outcome of War
For investors, geopolitical risks are always lurking as a factor that could upend trades for obvious reasons. When war breaks out, it's crucial to have some kind of understanding of what it will mean for various markets (such as oil or grain) and how long the conflict can persist ... Show More
44m 29s
Jul 7
How You Get and Actually Keep a Job at a Multi-Strat Hedge Fund
Multi-strategy hedge funds, composed of lots of individual portfolio managers, have seen assets under management boom in recent years, thanks to astonishingly consistent returns throughout the cycle. If you're one of the PMs, the money can be incredibly lucrative. But job securit ... Show More
45m 11s
Jul 5
Emily Sundberg on How Nobody Is Coming to Save Gen Z
What do young professionals in New York City actually think about money and capitalism? According to our guest Emily Sundberg, creator of the Feed Me newsletter, there is a foreboding sense that nobody is coming to save them. End times are coming. AI will take all the jobs. There ... Show More
20m 33s
Recommended Episodes
Sep 2023
Andrew Sheets: GDP, Inflation and a Possible Government Shutdown
Corporate credit is likely to continue outperforming, even if downward revisions to GDP, sticky inflation data and a potential government shutdown could mean a less restrictive approach from the Fed. ----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Glob ... Show More
3m 9s
Jun 2024
Is the Fed Thinking About Inflation All Wrong?
For over a decade, America’s central bank has had an inflation target of 2%. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve announced that it would keep its main interest rate unchanged in order to try and get inflation to that magic number. But what if the Fed is thinking about inflation all ... Show More
17m 3s
Sep 2022
U.S. Economy: The Fed Continues to Fight Inflation
After another Fed meeting and another historically high rate hike, it’s clear that the Fed is committed to fighting inflation, but how and when will the real economy see the effects? Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets and Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter discuss. --- ... Show More
7m 37s
Jun 2022
Robert Rosener: The Continued Rise in Inflation
As inflation continues to rise beyond expectations, the Fed is set to meet next week, leaving markets to wonder if an acceleration in rate hikes might be in store this summer. -----Transcript----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Robert Rosner, Senior U.S. Economist for Mor ... Show More
3m 24s
Jun 2022
The Fed’s big swing at inflation
The Federal Reserve announced its largest interest rate increase since 1994. And it's the equivalent of the US central bank taking a baseball bat to the economy, according to the FT’s US financial commentator Robert Armstrong.   In this week’s episode, Armstrong is helping us to ... Show More
19m 43s
Aug 2023
Money Talks: Lessons from the great macro experiment
American economists are scratching their heads in confusion. The Fed’s aggressive rate hikes hasn’t produced the outcome many expected. Instead of recession and massive layoffs, the US economy now looks tantalisingly close to a fabled “soft landing” with the jobs market remaining ... Show More
45m 30s
Aug 2023
Money Talks: Lessons from the great macro experiment
American economists are scratching their heads in confusion. The Fed’s aggressive rate hikes hasn’t produced the outcome many expected. Instead of recession and massive layoffs, the US economy now looks tantalisingly close to a fabled “soft landing” with the jobs market remaining ... Show More
45m 30s
Mar 2022
The Fed: Learning From the Last Hiking Cycle
As the Fed kicks off a new rate hiking cycle, investors are looking back at the previous hiking cycle to ease their concerns today. Head of Public Policy Research and Municipal Strategy Michael Zezas and Global Head of Macro Strategy Matthew Hornbach discuss. -----Transcript----- ... Show More
6m 19s
May 2023
Andrew Sheets: The Prospect of a Pause in Rate Hikes
The Federal Reserve pausing on hiking interest rates has historically been good for markets. But given current conditions, history may not repeat itself. ----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Assets Strategist for Morgan Stanley. ... Show More
2m 46s
Sep 2021
Andrew Sheets: The Fed Shuffles Toward the Exit
This week, the Fed hinted that a taper announcement in November could be in store, adding one more wrinkle into events that investors will need to navigate this fall. ----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist for Morg ... Show More
3m 18s