logo
episode-header-image
Nov 2022
6m 57s

Things Are Different Now, or Are They?

Victor Menasce
About this episode

Folks there are about six weeks remaining in 2022. I believe goal setting is a critical component of success. If you have not started planning for next year, you are probably going to start the year without a solid plan. If you’re planning in January, then you missed the starting gun. Every year, our team takes three days to plan the upcoming year. This year, we will be doing that work from December 9-11. It will be a face to face session held over those three days in Ottawa Canada. We have only a few number seats available for those who would like to participate in our planning process. This would be a seat at the table with our team as we develop our individual and personal goals for 2023. If you would like to spend these three days with us, send an email to goals@victorjm.com and we will send you information on how you can participate and work on your own goals following what we believe is a very solid process for goal setting. Send an email to goals@victorjm.com

On yesterday’s show we talked about the importance of learning from the GFC. It seems that the root causes of the financial crisis have been glossed over and not properly dealt with.

Ben Bernanke who was the Fed chairman at the time has gone on record and said that the scope of the subprime mortgage loans was not sufficient to explain the magnitude of financial destruction that took place during those years. He also went on to say that the Fed lacked the tools to effectively deal with the crisis.

The Fed stepped in to bail out some institutions. But the crisis did not appear first in the US. The cascade of dominoes started overseas and did not involve any US entities at first.

The first inkling of a problem happened on Aug 7, 2007 when trading in three funds based in Lichtenstein virtually stopped. These were money market funds, denominated in US dollars, trading in London and securitized a basket of assets that were considered to be high quality, on par with US Treasuries in terms of quality.

A credit bubble appeared in both the United States and Europe. This tells us that our primary explanation for the credit bubble should focus on factors common to both regions. Home prices in the UK, Ireland, Spain, France, Italy and Australia experienced similar effects to the United States. But as we discussed on yesterday’s show, Canadian real estate was largely unaffected by the financial crisis. So why is that? What was different?

Large financial firms failed in Iceland, Spain, Germany, and the United Kingdom, among others. Not all of these firms bet solely on U.S. housing assets, and
they operated in different regulatory and supervisory regimes than U.S. commercial and investment banks. In many cases these European systems have stricter regulation than the United States, and still they faced financial firm failures similar to those in the United States.

Did the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission really get to the root cause of the crisis?

-----------------

Hoat: Victor Menasce

email: podcast@victorjm.com

Up next
Yesterday
Office Tenants Become Buyers
On today’s show we are talking about a growing trend in the office market. This was reported last week in Urban Land Magazine.It seems that U.S. Office Tenants Are Becoming Buyers. Deep discounts, favorable financing, and long-term benefits are turning users into owners.--------- ... Show More
6m 16s
Jul 10
AMA - How Do I Process This Quote?
Today’s show is another AMA episode (Ask Me Anything).Marc asks, “We received a quote from a general contractor that is way above the expected averages for the actual square footage of the building. I’ve attached a copy of the quote and the drawings for the building. I’d love to ... Show More
5m 17s
Jul 8
Asset Allocation Like The Pension Funds
At Y Street Capital, we are specialists in storage and light industrial. If you are interested in getting exposure to a portfolio of storage projects including retail, industrial and boat & RV, our storage fund might be perfect for you. To learn more visit ystreetcapital.comOn to ... Show More
6m 42s
Recommended Episodes
Oct 2022
Mike Wilson: The Problem with the U.S. Dollar
With rates and currency markets experiencing increasing volatility, the state of global U.S. dollar supply has begun to force central bank moves, leaving the question of when and how the Fed may react up for debate. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the market. I'm Mi ... Show More
4m 22s
Jun 2023
What can we learn from previous financial crashes amid recession fears?
The global economy has weathered the most tumultuous century in modern history and most of the previous financial crises have shared similarities from which we can learn. So writes Dr Linda Yueh, CBE, in her new book, The Great Crashes: Lessons from Global Meltdowns and How to Pr ... Show More
21m 14s
Aug 2023
25: The Big Bang: The origin of modern real estate and banking
In this latest episode of Onward, Fundrise CEO Ben Miller and co-host Cardiff Garcia give us a tour of the economic landscape that was once the status quo: a world where local lending institutions called S&Ls — or thrifts — were the primary way individuals saved for and financed ... Show More
58m 23s
Aug 2023
Darrell Duffie On How to Fix the World’s Most Important Market
In the global financial system, US Treasuries play a special role. They’re basically as close to cash as a financial asset can get and their yields act as the "risk-free" rate against which all other assets are measured. In other words, the US Treasury market is supposed to be th ... Show More
47m 29s
Mar 2022
Michael Zezas: Key Questions Amidst Geopolitical Tensions
The recent crisis in Ukraine has caused a great deal of uncertainty in the economy and markets. To cut through the noise, we take a look at the three key questions we are hearing from investors. Important note regarding economic sanctions. This research references country/ies whi ... Show More
3m 4s
Mar 2022
Andrew Sheets: A Different Story for Global Markets
While the U.S. continues to see high valuations, rising inflation, and slow policy tightening, the story is quite different for many markets outside the U.S. Important note regarding economic sanctions. This research references country/ies which are generally the subject of compr ... Show More
2m 58s
May 2023
Andrew Sheets: Unresolved Questions Create Market Uncertainty
Optimistic investors have pushed stocks and bond yields to the high end of the recent range. But inflation, banks and the debt ceiling status are still raising questions that have gone unanswered. ----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief C ... Show More
3m 12s
Mar 2023
Global Economy: Central Bank Policy in a Time of Volatility
As markets contend with the recent volatility in the banking sector, global central banks face the challenge of continuing to combat inflation against this updated backdrop. Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets and Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter discuss. ----- Transc ... Show More
9m 3s
Apr 2023
Michael Zezas: What the ‘X-Date’ Means for Investors
With the deadline to raise the debt ceiling looming closer, will recent banking challenges reduce Congress's willingness to take risks with the economy? ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to the Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Global Head of Fixed Income research for Morga ... Show More
2m 43s