Dean is looking at shorting the Nasdaq 100 ETF ($QQQ) by using a "butterfly" spread. He wants to fade a Fed pivot (he wants to bet against the consensus that the Fed will reverse course and loosen policy) by shorting duration-sensitive equities such as those in the Nasdaq. -- DAS Digital Asset Summit is crypto's most institutional conference. DAS is the on ... Show More
Jan 2022
BREAKDOWN: The Macro Battle That Will Shape Crypto Markets This Year
A Fed shift from QE to QT and a political battle over austerity and inflation.
This episode is sponsored by Nexo, Abra and FTX US.
Last week, the December FOMC meeting minutes revealed that not only was the Fed expecting at least 3 rate hikes in 2022, they were actively consideri ... Show More
20m 33s
Mar 2022
BREAKDOWN: The Fed’s Powell Is Getting More Hawkish as Market Starts Using the ‘R-Word’
Is recession the only way out of inflation?
This episode is sponsored by Nexo.io, Arculus and FTX US.
On today’s episode, NLW takes a tour of recent macro sentiment, focusing on the shifting tone coming out of the U.S. Federal Reserve. In speeches and interviews this week, Fed ... Show More
16m 34s
May 2022
BREAKDOWN: As the Market Slinks Down, It's Time to Touch Grass
A look at FOMC meeting minutes and other macro indicators.
This episode is sponsored by Nexo.io, NEAR and FTX US.
Today on “The Breakdown,” NLW explores the macro set-up, including Fed unanimity on two 50 basis point rate hikes in June and July followed by optionality at the Se ... Show More
17m 6s
May 2022
BREAKDOWN: The Fed vs. VC – What’s Driving Crypto Short-Term and Long-Term Market Outlook
It’s a tale of two markets in crypto.
This episode is sponsored by Nexo.io, NEAR and FTX US.
In the short term, crypto is firmly a part of the larger macro cycle driven by the Fed’s fight against inflation. In the long term, however, there is much evidence that the market downt ... Show More
17m 53s
Mar 2022
BREAKDOWN: The Market Indicator Flashing ‘Recession’
Why the U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted and what it means.
This episode is sponsored by Nexo.io, Arculus and FTX US.
Since 1955, every U.S. recession has been preceded by the inversion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve, meaning that short-dated notes had higher yields than lo ... Show More
16m 14s
May 2022
BREAKDOWN: Wait, Was the Fed Meeting Dovish or Hawkish?
A 50bps hike comes out of the FOMC meeting.
This episode is sponsored by Nexo.io, NEAR and FTX US.
Today on “The Breakdown,” NLW looks at this week’s FOMC meeting. The Fed increased the Federal Funds Rate target by the anticipated 50 basis points, but most of the discussion was ... Show More
12m 59s
Oct 2022
It’s Not Just Inflation, The Fed’s Lost Control | Round Up
The CPI print just came out, and prices are hot. This week's roundup explores the implications of high inflation, what it means for company earnings and what to expect next.Has the Fed lost control? Is this the fault of current or prior regimes? Where are rates headed? Is QE comi ... Show More
1h 3m