logo
episode-header-image
Apr 2022
1h 39m

E74: Market update, inverted yield curve...

All-In Podcast, LLC
About this episode

0:00 Sacks' DC trip and foreign policy speaking gig

5:50 Yield curve inversion, breaking down the current state of the markets, understanding the labor market through birth rate and immigration

26:16 How the US can fix its current economic issues, reframing high-skilled immigration

48:54 SEC's new proposed rules around SPACs and climate disclosures for public companies: how will both markets be impacted?

1:10:29 Meta used a GOP firm to run a smear campaign against TikTok in the US: dirty, necessary, or both?

1:19:03 Food shortage update

1:24:33 Sacks and Jason reflect on Biden's inflammatory comments on Putin

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obama-doctrine/471525

https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/part-us-yield-curve-just-inverted-does-that-mean-recession-is-coming-2022-03-28

https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/dont-fear-the-yield-curve-reprise-20220325.htm

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/restoration-hardware-stock-price-ceo-warns-big-short-economy-inflation-2022-3

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PATH:NYSE

https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2022/03/american-population-growth-rate-slow/629392

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/31/2-year-treasury-yield-tops-10-year-rate-a-yield-curve-inversion-that-could-signal-a-recession.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/joe-bidens-big-new-wealth-tax-white-house-budget-fy-2023-11648504962

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-28/manchin-pans-biden-s-proposed-tax-on-unrealized-gains-of-wealthy

https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/democrats-go-directly-to-the-center

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-29/spacs-face-fresh-sec-legal-threat-for-overly-bullish-forecasts

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-05-27/spacs-can-take-away-the-insiders-advantage-in-ipos-and-markets

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-03-22/the-sec-will-regulate-climate

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/30/sec-targets-spacs-with-new-rules-about-forecasts-mergers.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/03/30/facebook-tiktok-targeted-victory/

https://www.agweek.com/news/ukraine-ag-production-could-drop-80-fertilizer-prices-to-cut-food-supply-long-term-uk-expert-says

https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2022/03/wheat-in-2023.html

https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2021/09/information-on-2021-cash-rents-with-implications-for-2022.html

https://www.agweek.com/news/usda-nass-to-livestream-prospective-planting-report

https://www.npr.org/2022/03/28/1089300515/biden-putin-remarks-regime-change

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/putin-s-approval-ratings-soar-amid-russia-s-war-in-ukraine/ar-AAVI29R

Up next
Jul 4
Big Beautiful Bill, Elon/Trump, Dollar Down Big, Harvard's Money Problems, Figma IPO
(0:00) Bestie intros (2:58) Big Beautiful Bill: Senate revision, AI regulation moratorium killed (14:10) Clean energy subsidies phased out: What this means for energy production in the US (25:12) Elon/Trump; US fiscal picture post-BBB (43:26) US dollar down over 10% in 2025 (53:5 ... Show More
1h 25m
Jun 28
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner
(0:00) Bestie intros: The Core Four is back! (1:38) Launching All-In Tequila! (7:01) 12 Day War ends in US-led ceasefire: what it means for the future of the region (29:48) How markets digested the last few weeks in the Middle East, crucial role of energy independence (39:58) Dem ... Show More
1h 47m
Jun 21
IPOs and SPACs are Back, Mag 7 Showdown, Zuck on Tilt, Apple's Fumble, GENIUS Act passes Senate
(0:00) The Besties welcome Thomas Laffont! (3:26) State of LA, Hollywood's decline, positivity around GDP growth and AI productivity (10:19) Zuck on tilt over AI: $100M offers, Scale AI deal, hiring spree (23:58) Mag 7 AI Showdown: Ranking the most likely AI winners, biggest stoc ... Show More
1h 52m
Recommended Episodes
Jul 2024
BCG Chief Economist: Artificial Intelligence Will Displace Labor | Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak on Economic False Alarms and Solar Flare Black Swans
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidanceFollow Blockwork ... Show More
1h 18m
Oct 2023
Job Market: The Shocking Truth (It's Not What You Think!)
Free Webinar, Friday Oct 20, 630pm EDT. Sign up here: https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollarIf you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here. https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page#recession #money #recession2023 #money #infl ... Show More
18m 8s
Oct 2022
It’s Not Just Inflation, The Fed’s Lost Control | Round Up
The CPI print just came out, and prices are hot. This week's roundup explores the implications of high inflation, what it means for company earnings and what to expect next.Has the Fed lost control? Is this the fault of current or prior regimes? Where are rates headed? Is QE comi ... Show More
1h 3m
Feb 2022
Fed says QE is Really Very Super Extra Terrific [Eurodollar University, Ep. 187]
The US government bond market appears to be out of step with CPI, a booming economy and money printing by central banks - what gives? We review two Federal Reserve officials explain that QE is very, really, super powerful (and that's why the bond market signals are haywire).----- ... Show More
24 m
Jul 2022
Shorting The Nasdaq With Butterfly Spreads | Dean Curnutt
Dean is looking at shorting the Nasdaq 100 ETF ($QQQ) by using a "butterfly" spread. He wants to fade a Fed pivot (he wants to bet against the consensus that the Fed will reverse course and loosen policy) by shorting duration-sensitive equities such as those in the Nasdaq.  --  D ... Show More
1h 3m
Jun 2024
Growth Scare Hits U.S. Economy | Barry Knapp on Fed’s “Quadrilemma,” Lehman Brothers, and Job Market
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.Follow Barry Knapp on Twitter https://x.com/barryknapp?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5EauthorFollow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter ... Show More
1h 19m
Aug 2021
Taper (but no) Tantrum! Why not? [Ep. 97]
Jay Powell announced his central bank is satisfied (enough) with the economy's direction. Thus, the Fed will soon be 'tapering'; lessening the 'monetary stimulus'. What did bond-money markets say? Did they have a tantrum? No, because they don't believe what Jay believes. -----SEE ... Show More
50 m
Jun 2024
4 Reasons Why the Stock Market Has Delivered Impressive Performance
Sarah Hansen, Morningstar Inc. markets reporter, discusses why the stock market is up today and what could cause it to fall. Preston Caldwell, senior US economist for Morningstar Research Services, explains why he thinks the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates more than once ... Show More
17m 39s
Nov 2021
Red or Blue Pill? Bonds say Powell will opt for Blue [Eurodollar University, Ep. 168]
PART 01: Jay Powell has been nominated by President Biden to serve another term as the Federal Reserve chair. Though his nomination has not even been heard by the US Congress, another group of people has already passed judgement on the second term: the bond market (and they say i ... Show More
59 m
Feb 2022
What Mohamed EL-ERIAN got SO wrong about the Economy [Eurodollar University, Ep. 193]
Mohamed El-Erian appeared on Hidden Forces, a great podcast by Demitri Kofinas. But instead of challenging consensus narratives or thinking critically about the power shaping our world El-Erian obfuscated and misdirected Kofinas and the audience about economics, the Fed and histo ... Show More
54 m