logo
episode-header-image
Mar 2022
3m 37s

Mike Wilson: Late Cycle Signals

MORGAN STANLEY
About this episode
This year is validating our call for a shorter but hotter economic cycle. As the indicators begin to point to a late-cycle environment, here’s how investors can navigate the change. 
Up next
Yesterday
Four Key Themes Shaping Markets in 2026
Our Global Head of Thematic and Sustainability Research Stephen Byrd discusses Morgan Stanley’s key investment themes for this year and how they’re influencing markets and economies.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I’ ... Show More
4m 56s
Jan 23
How Consumers, CapEx and Fiscal Policy Are Driving Growth
In the second of their two-part roundtable, Seth Carpenter and Morgan Stanley’s top economists break down the forces influencing growth across different regions.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Seth Carpenter: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Set ... Show More
15m 15s
Jan 22
Mapping Global Central Bank Paths
Our Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter joins our chief regional economists to discuss the outlook for interest rates in the U.S., Japan and Europe.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Seth Carpenter: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Seth Carpenter ... Show More
12m 36s
Recommended Episodes
Aug 2022
Analysts can't agree on where stocks are headed next!
Lack of direction is what investors will be suffering until we see clearer signs of inflation abating. And that will take time, as we must see a couple of encouraging data points to call the central banks’ inflation fight successful. The lack of clear direction is driving the mar ... Show More
11m 11s
Aug 2023
Edward Yardeni: Rolling recessions, yes, but also 'rolling recoveries'
Edward Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research, says it is possible that long-term recession predictors like the inverted yield curve and leading indicators may not be right this time, but mostly because the economy has been going through a series o ... Show More
58m 35s
Apr 2023
Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Slow burn (Q1 reflections)
With 1Q23 behind us, we reflect on the drivers behind quarterly market performance and how unexpected events have impacted CIO’s market outlook for the balance of the year. We also touch on why the outlook for growth, inflation, and monetary policy is slow burn lower on all front ... Show More
14m 37s
Aug 2022
Strong US jobs data hammers the recession 'optimism'
Strong US jobs data revived the Federal Reserve (Fed) hawks on Friday. The US 10-year yield jumped, and the US dollar gained. Gold gave back a part of gains, and US stocks closed in the negative, although the three major US indices closed the first week of August in the positive. ... Show More
10m 42s
Aug 2023
IBKR's Sosnick: Inflation is here until something breaks
Steve Sosnick, chief market strategist at Interactive Brokers, says investors should be thinking defensively and looking at dividend stocks rather than hoping that central bankers will pivot and start cutting rates to boost the market, because he thinks the Fed will stick with hi ... Show More
1 h
Feb 2021
The Triggers for a Bond Bubble Pop Are Now in Motion
DB:Feb 9, 2021. Peter Boockvar, CIO of Bleakley Advisory Group, joins Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington to discuss the oil market rally, signals of incoming inflation and the central bank response to it, and the drop in junk bond yields. Boockvar observes how oil is the la ... Show More
34m 39s
Jul 2023
Vanguard's Hard Pass on a `Soft Landing'
A rallying stock market and better-than-expected second-quarter economic growth are just the latest developments pointing Wall Street skeptics to the possibility of a US “soft landing.” That’s where the Federal Reserve gets inflation back down to around 2% without triggering a do ... Show More
38m 37s
Feb 2024
Should the Airline Sector Get a Bailout?
In this episode, hosts Ian Dunlap, Troy Millings, and Rashad Bilal discuss the current state of the airline sector and whether it is in need of a bailout. They delve into the financial performance of major airlines such as JetBlue, Southwest, United Airlines, and Delta, highlight ... Show More
12m 7s