Two Federal Reserve officials explain that QE is very, really, super powerful (and that's why the bond market signals are haywire).
Yesterday
Holy Sh*t… Did You See What Just Happened to India’s Currency?!
<p>India’s rupee broke, plunging and I mean plunging Friday to a new record low and once again embarrassing the country’s central bank which had been intervening heavily for the past month. The funny thing is, there really wasn’t much of a trigger to it, at least not on the surfa ... Show More
19m 53s
Nov 23
Fallen Hedge Fund Just Confirmed the Next Financial Crisis
<p>Nvidia was a bust. Not the company’s earnings and forecasts, those were stellar. Instead, it didn’t provide the buying boost everyone thought it would. Stocks lost ground. Bitcoin continues to get hammered, down by a third in roughly six weeks. What is going on here? The answe ... Show More
21m 23s
Sep 2023
E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:05) GOP Primary update: polling, acceptable candidates, tentpole issues (11:56) All-In Summit 2023 recap (24:12) IPOs and M&A heat up: Arm, Instacart, and Klaviyo go public, Cisco acquires Splunk for $28B, but did the "great reopening" fall short? (42:34) ... Show More
1h 42m
Oct 2022
It’s Not Just Inflation, The Fed’s Lost Control | Round Up
The CPI print just came out, and prices are hot. This week's roundup explores the implications of high inflation, what it means for company earnings and what to expect next.Has the Fed lost control? Is this the fault of current or prior regimes? Where are rates headed? Is QE comi ... Show More
1h 3m
Feb 2023
E114: Markets update: whipsaw macro picture, big tech, startup mass extinction event, VC reckoning
(0:00) Bestie intro! (1:15) Macro picture update: 0.25% raise, jobs rip up, wage growth continues to slow (17:52) Interest rates impact on mega-cap company creation (33:58) Mass extinction event coming to startups, reckoning for VCs, venture debt issues (1:02:33) Adani's potentia ... Show More
1h 12m
Feb 2023
Recession, Soft Landing or Higher For Longer? | Kevin Flanagan
On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Andreas and Alfonso welcome Kevin Flanagan Head of Fixed Income Strategy at WisdomTree for a discussion on everything happening in global bond markets. Since 2022, the consensus has flip flopped from recession, to soft landing as ma ... Show More
57m 19s
Jul 2022
MacroVoices #332 Lyn Alden: Energy, Inflation, The Dollar & More
<p>MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Lyn Alden to the show. They take a deep dive on energy markets and the tug-of-war between recession fears pulling oil prices lower and tight physical markets implying they’re already too low. They also look at inflation, th ... Show More
1h 25m
Mar 2023
E121: Macro update, Fed hike, CRE debt bubble, Balaji's Bitcoin bet, TikTok's endgame & more
(0:00) Bestie intro! (2:58) Fed hikes 25 bps (32:35) Balaji bets on Bitcoin $1M, predictions for hyperinflation, crypto crackdown in the US (54:27) Should the commercial real estate sector receive a similar treatment as regional banks? Math and solutions on 100% FDIC insurance (1 ... Show More
1h 34m
Nov 2023
The Massive Bond Short | “Recession Denier” Jonny Matthews (ex-Brevan Howard) On The Duration Bubble, Correlation Trades, and Variance Swaps
Jonny Matthews, founder of Super Macro and former portfolio manager at Brevan Howard and managing director at Citi & Saloman Brothers, joins Forward Guidance to share his view on markets and the economy. Having netted a near 100% return in 2022 with a very large short in Treasury ... Show More
1h 22m