Fed says QE is Really Very Super Extra T...

We’ve been covering the macro housing bust for some time, and while it’s still there another major problem has come up and for the same reasons. Mortgage delinquencies and even foreclosures have come into the conversation, especially in places like Texas. Rates continue to tick l ... Show More

Chaos at the Asian open last night with uncontrolled panic buying sending oil prices up to as high as $120 per barrel. Thankfully, they backed down and actually ended the day down by 8%. Still, that wild ride isn't good, indicating the world is really struggling with the oil chal ... Show More

Not one but two negative payrolls. That’s what we got from the latest update on the employment situation, a double dose of flat Beverage amidst a historic week in the oil market and another major escalation in the private credit bust. And all these things go together. The looming ... Show More

(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:05) GOP Primary update: polling, acceptable candidates, tentpole issues (11:56) All-In Summit 2023 recap (24:12) IPOs and M&A heat up: Arm, Instacart, and Klaviyo go public, Cisco acquires Splunk for $28B, but did the "great reopening" fall short? (42:34) ... Show More

The CPI print just came out, and prices are hot. This week's roundup explores the implications of high inflation, what it means for company earnings and what to expect next.Has the Fed lost control? Is this the fault of current or prior regimes? Where are rates headed? Is QE comi ... Show More

<p>Itay Vinik is the Co-Founder & Chief Investment Officer at Equi, an alternative investment platform that brings investment strategies to accredited investors.</p> <p>Today, Itay returns to the pod to answer the question: can the Fed thread the needle between inflation and rece ... Show More

(0:00) Bestie intro! (1:15) Macro picture update: 0.25% raise, jobs rip up, wage growth continues to slow (17:52) Interest rates impact on mega-cap company creation (33:58) Mass extinction event coming to startups, reckoning for VCs, venture debt issues (1:02:33) Adani's potentia ... Show More

There's a definite correlation between changes in stock buybacks and changes in market performance. With the closure of the stock buyback window by the blackout period, the effects will be interesting, especially with the prevailing attitudes in an over-extended market. We also n ... Show More

On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Andreas and Alfonso welcome Kevin Flanagan Head of Fixed Income Strategy at WisdomTree for a discussion on everything happening in global bond markets. Since 2022, the consensus has flip flopped from recession, to soft landing as ma ... Show More

<p>MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Lyn Alden to the show. They take a deep dive on energy markets and the tug-of-war between recession fears pulling oil prices lower and tight physical markets implying they’re already too low. They also look at inflation, th ... Show More

<p>Higher bond yields in developed markets are spooking equity markets, but some on the bond side see the higher yields as too attractive to miss out on. Services prices in Japan rose at the fastest annual rate since 1993. China is pushing hard against a weaker yuan. Bitcoin drop ... Show More

(0:00) Bestie intro! (2:58) Fed hikes 25 bps (32:35) Balaji bets on Bitcoin $1M, predictions for hyperinflation, crypto crackdown in the US (54:27) Should the commercial real estate sector receive a similar treatment as regional banks? Math and solutions on 100% FDIC insurance (1 ... Show More

Jonny Matthews, founder of Super Macro and former portfolio manager at Brevan Howard and managing director at Citi & Saloman Brothers, joins Forward Guidance to share his view on markets and the economy. Having netted a near 100% return in 2022 with a very large short in Treasury ... Show More