logo
episode-header-image
Dec 2021
1h 21m

E58: November's CPI, preparing for a dow...

All-In Podcast, LLC
About this episode

0:00 Bestie Intro: Chamath's happy hour and sweater feud

7:11 Breaking down the new 6.8% CPI number, reflecting on old inflation takes, jobs report, understanding why CPI is misleading

23:05 How growth stocks got overblown, current valuation outlook, government as capital allocators

40:12 Deficit trouble: will another president ever try and balance the budget? Areas of positivity in the economy

50:29 Better.com's botched layoffs, impact of overcapitalization, macro outlook for founders

1:11:16 Lessons from the Jussie Smollett saga

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/10/consumer-price-index-november-2021.html

https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2021/consumer-prices-increase-6-2-percent-for-the-year-ended-october-2021.htm

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-powell-must-do-next-after-admitting-that-he-was-wrong-about-transitory-inflation-11638460995

https://www.cnn.com/2021/01/27/economy/inflation-federal-reserve-janet-yellen/index.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/22/opinion/us-inflation-stimulus.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/10/business/economy/inflation-markets-federal-reserve.html

https://www.axios.com/inflation-consumers-survey-1932e8d0-b01b-4c39-8fb4-4fdb9a96958d.html

http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2021/images/12/10/cbo.report.on.build.back.better.pdf

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook-pm/2021/11/10/does-the-wh-owe-larry-summers-an-apology-495052

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/03/jobs-report-november-2021.html

https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1469438745791410183

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/10/stanley-druckenmiller-fed-lulling-investors-into-false-sense-of-security.html

https://www.businessinsider.com/congress-progressives-back-bill-4-day-workweek-remote-work-2021-12

https://youtu.be/-_wvTa8aiu8

https://www.thebalance.com/deficit-by-president-what-budget-deficits-hide-3306151

https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1469370800771715073

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidjeans/2020/11/20/mortgages-fraud-claims-and-dumb-dolphins-a-tangled-past-haunts-bettercom-ceo-vishal-garg/?sh=6ed46a0110f4

https://youtu.be/pXLx5OY21Bk

https://youtu.be/wZXoErL2124

Up next
Aug 22
AI Bubble Pops, Zuck Freezes Hiring, Newsom’s 2028 Surge, Russia/Ukraine Endgame
(0:00) Bestie intros (1:59) What's new with the All-In Summit (9:02) AI Mania hits the brakes: sign of a bubble or a healthy correction? (30:49) Meta's AI hiring freeze: are the AI talent wars slowing down? (39:09) Gavin Newsom is the early favorite to be the 2028 Democratic nomi ... Show More
1h 11m
Aug 20
Senator Eric Schmitt: Exposing the Biggest Censorship Scandal in US History
(0:00) Sacks and Jason welcome Senator Eric Schmitt (2:34) Biden v. Missouri, uncovering government censorship as Missouri AG (6:06) Section 230 and social media, the legacy of Russiagate, big tech censorship in the age of AI (18:44) Behind the Hunter Biden laptop story and COVID ... Show More
1 h
Aug 15
AI Psychosis, America's Broken Social Fabric, Trump Takes Over DC Police, Is VC Broken?
(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:45) AI Psychosis: what it looks like and why it's happening (20:13) Why the social fabric in America is breaking down (35:55) Fixing the incentives that created the student debt crisis (48:52) Trump takes federal control of DC police (1:05:39) Venture Cap ... Show More
1h 32m
Recommended Episodes
Oct 2022
It’s Not Just Inflation, The Fed’s Lost Control | Round Up
The CPI print just came out, and prices are hot. This week's roundup explores the implications of high inflation, what it means for company earnings and what to expect next.Has the Fed lost control? Is this the fault of current or prior regimes? Where are rates headed? Is QE comi ... Show More
1h 3m
Jul 2024
BCG Chief Economist: Artificial Intelligence Will Displace Labor | Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak on Economic False Alarms and Solar Flare Black Swans
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidanceFollow Blockwork ... Show More
1h 18m
Jun 2024
Growth Scare Hits U.S. Economy | Barry Knapp on Fed’s “Quadrilemma,” Lehman Brothers, and Job Market
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.Follow Barry Knapp on Twitter https://x.com/barryknapp?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5EauthorFollow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter ... Show More
1h 19m
Feb 2023
Hotter Inflation Chills Stock Market- Ep 874
· The inflation genie is impossible to put back in the bottle.· CPI and PPI are lagging for a number of reasons.· Beaten down stocks of 2022 enjoyed a short-lived dead cat bounce in 2023.· Consumer spending in January surged after a record decline in tax revenue.· The PCE is the ... Show More
54m 25s
Nov 2023
George Robertson: The Fed Has No Control, There Will Be No Recession, and Fiscal Supremacy Will Drive Stocks To “Ponzi Stage”
George Robertson joins Forward Guidance to argue that the exceptionally large fiscal stimulus will mean that the economic boom has no end in sight. Once the market realizes there will be no recession, Robertson continues, stocks will soar and the 10-year will rise. Robertson make ... Show More
1h 52m
May 2024
Short-Term Market Volatility Could Provide Long-Term Investing Opportunities
Sarah Hansen, Morningstar Inc markets reporter, discusses how today’s market volatility could benefit investors who are focused on long-term investing. Mark Miller, Retirement Reboot author, calls the Medicare changes in 2024 at the pharmacy counter “the best news that few people ... Show More
16m 38s
Oct 2023
Job Market: The Shocking Truth (It's Not What You Think!)
Free Webinar, Friday Oct 20, 630pm EDT. Sign up here: https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollarIf you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here. https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page#recession #money #recession2023 #money #infl ... Show More
18m 8s
Feb 2022
Fed says QE is Really Very Super Extra Terrific [Eurodollar University, Ep. 187]
The US government bond market appears to be out of step with CPI, a booming economy and money printing by central banks - what gives? We review two Federal Reserve officials explain that QE is very, really, super powerful (and that's why the bond market signals are haywire).----- ... Show More
24 m
Jun 2024
4 Reasons Why the Stock Market Has Delivered Impressive Performance
Sarah Hansen, Morningstar Inc. markets reporter, discusses why the stock market is up today and what could cause it to fall. Preston Caldwell, senior US economist for Morningstar Research Services, explains why he thinks the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates more than once ... Show More
17m 39s