FiveThirtyEight Politics

Reaction Podcast: Trump Goes Long

Is The Era Of ‘Macho Man’ Politics Here?

No, It's Not Getting More Dangerous To Fly

Democrats Aren't Popular. What Should They Do About It?

Trump's Theory Of Presidential Power

A Valentine? In This Romantic Recession?

How Data Became A Political Football

The View From Europe

Will Tariffs End Trump’s Honeymoon?

Trump’s Federal Funding Fiasco

What Americans Think About Trump's Plans

Will Trump's Agenda Make It Through Congress?

Trump's Second Term Begins

The Highs and Lows of Biden’s Presidency

How Serious Is Trump About Greenland?

Campaign Throwback: 'The Beer Question'

What Will The Politics of 2025 Look Like?

Campaign Throwback: 'Soccer Moms'

Campaign Throwback: 'The Economy, Stupid'

What We're Putting In Our 2024 Time Capsule

Our 2024 Superlatives

What Happens To Trump's Legal Cases Now?

A Topsy-Turvy Week In Review

Your Post-Election Questions, Answered

The 2026 Midterms Are Only 701 Days Away

Voters Lose Their Appetite For Incumbents

How The Polls Did In 2024

What Americans Expect From Trump's Second Term

A 'Realignment' Among Latino Voters

The Best And Worst Post-Election Hot Takes

Donald Trump Wins The Presidency

An Hour-By-Hour Guide To Election Night

The Pollercoaster Takes A Final Plunge

Galen’s Cauldron Of Queries

Will 2024 Be A Disputed Election?

Do Voters Care About Democracy?

The Most Valuable Data Point

How the Diploma Divide Took Over Our Politics

A New Kind Of Undecided Voter

A 538 Election Road Trip

Weighting For Election Day

The Battle For The Airwaves

Beneath A Steady Race, A Shifting America

Vance Performed Well In VP Debate. Will It Matter?

In A Topsy-Turvy World, The Candidates Stick To These Three Issues

How To Read Polls In 2024

Is Trump Losing His Electoral College Advantage?

Has Harris Changed The Election For Black Voters?

Gen Z’s Historic Gender Gap

Harris Trolls Defensive Trump In Debate